Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.680252 2.040625 2.431712 2.884469 3.391009 3.937240 4.567754
2025-02-02 1.142093 1.612069 2.170827 2.869892 3.707125 4.664501 5.828757
2025-02-09 0.744455 1.237907 1.882751 2.751691 3.857736 5.186758 6.872282
2025-02-16 0.485866 0.965079 1.655146 2.652853 3.993658 5.673949 7.879191
2025-02-23 0.334358 0.795769 1.525071 2.647688 4.226929 6.274370 9.034348
2025-03-02 0.217699 0.639053 1.376134 2.584923 4.361729 6.738872 10.021490
2025-03-09 0.165274 0.579025 1.363298 2.711228 4.755193 7.549504 11.471276
2025-03-16 0.110766 0.488526 1.278086 2.709849 4.956543 8.099979 12.587660
2025-03-23 0.087261 0.460462 1.298007 2.873787 5.403309 8.996086 14.181512
2025-03-30 0.064435 0.420821 1.286578 2.980316 5.763620 9.777489 15.634201
2025-04-06 0.043716 0.372030 1.245406 3.028074 6.030726 10.429660 16.920159
2025-04-13 0.024535 0.306968 1.152834 2.971431 6.125462 10.831372 17.863939
2025-04-20 0.015181 0.273369 1.126748 3.037532 6.425518 11.549474 19.278656
2025-04-27 0.008708 0.242697 1.100113 3.098711 6.718646 12.264166 20.702866
2025-05-04 0.002971 0.191957 1.004326 3.011586 6.757339 12.597878 21.591999
2025-05-11 0.000593 0.149715 0.915411 2.924795 6.787310 12.914205 22.457661
2025-05-18 0.000065 0.125367 0.872387 2.928407 6.971043 13.466698 23.670501
2025-05-25 NaN 0.097642 0.803903 2.865683 7.030838 13.825254 24.603792
2025-06-01 NaN 0.093032 0.822433 3.003336 7.456586 14.763965 26.400496
2025-06-08 NaN 0.076696 0.784443 3.003006 7.627910 15.303063 27.613965
2025-06-15 NaN 0.076355 0.818462 3.179206 8.131736 16.378704 29.635621
2025-06-22 NaN 0.071162 0.827331 3.293518 8.522333 17.279002 31.406180
2025-06-29 NaN 0.062015 0.811807 3.344755 8.794588 17.992999 32.906326